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One Minute Business Checkup

Do you really know where your profits are coming from?

On Friday, I introduced you to the second of three keys for ensuring you succeed in these changing economic times, and that was, “Make sure you are empowering those people who are really running the business.”

Today I want to talk about the third key, but before I do let me take a few sentences to reflect on the gale blowing through the financial markets.

A dip? A pothole? A sinkhole?

It seems that we’re in for more than a small dip on the economic horizon. We’re in for completely different economic times!

This morning I was with a client who has been around for a while and was recalling the economic hard times right back to the 60’s. He did comment that we’ve been on an economic run now for the last 18 years. He remarked — and I agree wholeheartedly with him — that for many managers this will be a completely new experience.

Think about it for a minute.

What were you doing 18 years ago? For most of you, it would be something quite different. Your position and scale of responsibility will have been very different from today. That’s why we’ve started blogging in the way we have been. I foresaw current events back in March and the “proverbial is only now hitting the fan.” It means we at One Sherpa weren’t having a lend of you when we outlined the need to acquire new skills for managing in the new environment.

Somehow we got the title for the Summit right on the mark, which is ‘Critical skills to rise above uncertain times.’

Anyway, back to my third key…

“Make sure that you know where and how your profit is being made.”

As I was saying above, we have been on an amazing boom time for the last eighteen years and as a result many of the management practices that were necessary in hard times have become completely irrelevant and lost from the skills repertoire of managers.

In the good time it was simply a matter of increasing your sales as fast as you could, and the profits would generally follow along, even if the cash flow was tight. It was not necessary to know where you made your profit because it all just seemed to work itself out.

In the economic times ahead it will be more important to know exactly where you make your profit. There will be far less room for error and non-profitable products and services will need to be eliminated from your business to first survive and then to continue making satisfactory profits.

At One Sherpa, we determine a company’s performance by looking at the movements in their profit, broken down into three separate elements:

  • Price/Cost Inflation,
  • Cost Productivity, and
  • Volume/Mix Change.

Business owners have not been concerned about this type of breakdown (recently) because inflation has been low, volume has been high and businesses have generally run along OK.

Think about the level of cost increase running in your business… Has it increased? What about the effects of the petrol price increases? How have increased interest rates affected the households of your employees? What about the massive increase in the cost of food?

We used to be able to manage with only one major factor – volume increases — because the other factors were not significant enough to make a material difference. Not any more! In the new environment we will need to look at all three factors and understand why and how they’re affecting our day-to-day business.

I would like to ask you to consider adding your thoughts and relections in the comments area below. One of the reasons for blogging is to increase the interaction and cross-fertilisation of ideas. I really appreciate your thoughts and comments and if you are able to share them in the comments section of the blog it would increase the value of the articles and give others the benefit of any thoughts and feedback you might have.

I look forward to seeing you at the Summit on October 17th. Come ready for a day to remember and some take-away value that will assist you chart your way up your own particular mountain.

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It’s time to hold the debt-peddlers to account!

Everybody seems to be talking about the (in)stability of the financial system.

What the heck does that mean?

How many people have any idea what it means? Most of the trouble we’re in right now is because common sense has not prevailed and the smoke and mirrors of financial engineering has gone unchecked because the perpetrators have had so much at stake. It has become “Custer’s last stand”.

Think about the comments coming out of the US from Bush, Paulson et al.  If they don’t sound like Custer’s last stand then I’m a fairy penguin and I’ll go back to my burrow in Antarctica!

Here are the facts.

We’ve had a recessionary correction every decade since the 1960’s except we forgot to have one at the beginning of the new millennium. As a result, we’ve gone on for 18 years of unbridled “growth”.

The problem is, much of this “growth” is not real, rather it’s being fuelled by a massive expansion in debt. Asset values have been going up and people have been thinking they are better off, but all the time they have only been looking at one side of the coin.

On the other side — the side people have not been looking at — we have seen unprecedented growth in debt.

Now, to cap matters off, these financial engineers have completely lost their marbles when it comes to how they have done their accounting. We haven’t been growing real value; we’ve been artificially revaluing assets and then balancing the books with more debt.

When I was doing my accounting degree in the late 70’s it was against all accounting principles to revalue an asset and call it a “profit” and then declare that as “profit” through the profit and loss account. But this is now the most common sort of “return” (profit) that is available… as long as we allow that to continue we’ll never get the cash to catch up to all this speculation.

Stabilising the system through a taxpayer-funded bailout is making sure that we don’t bring the system back to the reality of cash returns and we keep up the “smoke and mirrors”, “rabbit out of the hat” false profit system.

Now, the obvious question…

Who has benefited from all this additional debt in the economy? None other than the money managers and financial engineers of the financial system who have created it. The people who have made themselves rich by financing the revaluing of “assets” over and over again.

Now that their folly has been exposed they are saying that “we the taxpayer” must bail them out! Ordinary citizens have paid them all the way up on their crazy ride through higher and higher quantums of interest, and now it seems we have to pay them again as they slide down the other side.

Enough is enough, I say!

It is time that the people who built and run this crazy financial system were brought to account for their folly.

What do you say?

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A foretaste of our upcoming Summit…

Lindsay Galt, Alister Cameron and I sat down together today for a quick and casual chat about our upcoming One Sherpa Summit. Lindsay, Alister and I are all sharing the platform together at the Summit, so we decided to take a few moments today to discuss what we’re going to be talking about on the day…

If you’re unsure whether the Summit is for you or not, we hope this short preview is helpful. Certainly, we’re particularly pleased and excited, that in light of the focus of global attention right now — squarely on the extraordinary levels of global market volatility — we should have decided to make the subject of our Summit, “Critical Skill to Rise Above Uncertain Times.”

Indeed, the timing is just right to address the urgent and important questions of how the current global economic crisis is changing the local business landscape, and what it might mean for you.

Hope you enjoy the preview, Click Here to view it.

Finally, we’re planning another preview like this one in a week’s time. We’d love to invite you to join us, and time permitting, we’ll take questions. We use a webinar system, which allows you to join us live, participate in the chat, and so forth. So, if you’ve got a few minutes next Wednesday 8th October 2008 at 1:30 pm AEST please join us in the webinar room. It’s free and you can log on from where ever you are during your lunch break (assuming you are near a computer with an internet connection of course).

To join us simply click on the following link at 1:15pm AEST Wednesday 8th October to join our Summit 2008 Sneak Peak.

Note: This link will only allow access at the specified time above, so don’t miss out!

We will be talking more about the latest developments in the global markets and what this means for your business here in Australia, plus giving some more previews into what you can expect at the Summit.

Hope to connect with you next Wednesday at 1:30pm.

How to be a Winner and Not a Loser in the Current Economic Turmoil

In the last couple of weeks I have been talking to you about issues I will be addressing at our Business Summit on 17th of October.

This week I want to give you a sneak preview into some of the gems you can expect from our other two keynote speakers.

In the current turbulent economic times there will be winners and losers. One key to ensuring that you are a winner and not a loser is to approach issues with the right mindset so you see the opportunities and not just the problems. Lindsay Galt will be addressing this topic at the Summit.

Today I have asked Lindsay to give you a sneak preview into some of the gems he will be sharing with us.

From Lindsay’s Desk

Life is full of choices and the sum of these choices determines your destiny. To be able to make the right choices you need to be able to make good decisions. This is one trait successful people have – an ability to make effective decisions.

One of the biggest barriers to effective decision making is fear. It may be fear of failing, fear of getting it wrong or perhaps, surprisingly, some people even fear success.

When it comes to making decisions there are four impediments that need to be addressed to overcome the fear of failing, or making a mistake. These are:

  • Doubt
  • Over Caution
  • Worry
  • Procrastination

The way to overcome fear is to deal with each of these four impediments that support it.

Here are four steps to help you overcome fear.

  1. Do your own due diligence; read, learn, and get informed about the key facts and issues affecting this decision.
  2. Consider intelligently the risks, and build in contingencies to counter them.
  3. Don’t over-stretch yourself. Take things one step at a time. Make decisions that will challenge you and cause you to grow personally or expand your resources, but make sure each step is still achievable for you.
  4. Seek the opinion and advice of wise, supportive counselors who have proven knowledge and expertise in the subject matter.
  • Step one will allow you to replace doubt with confidence.
  • Step two will allow you to replace over-caution with prudence.
  • Step three will let you replace worry with peace of mind.
  • Step four will give you the support and encouragement you need so you can replace procrastination with taking action.

—Lindsay

At the One Sherpa Summit, Lindsay will be sharing a bunch of other insights and keys to assist attendees on their journey to success. Amongst them will be 10 steps to effective decision-making.

I hope to see you there.

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